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DATELINE:   Across the U.S.A.

FLASH:  Expansions and Recessions: An Historic Look  1900-2001

I recently discovered a chart that shows Expansions and Recessions from 1900 to 2001.  One of the most interesting facts is that over the last one hundred years, recessions have become shorter in nature.  For example, three of the first four recessions during the 20 Century lasted longer than 600 days.  During the last four recessions, only one has been longer than  250 days (the longest was 487).

During expansions, we have seen the opposite occur.  Over the last 100+ years, expansions have become longer in duration.  Prior to WWII, there were ten economic expansions.  Of those, only four (40%) lasted longer than 1,000 days.  Since WWII, however, there have been eleven expansions, of which nine (81%) crossed the 1,000 day threshold.

Expansion = increase in business prosperity
Recession = decrease in business prosperity

(by:  Bespoke Investment Group 9/17/2007)

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